Home prices are finally starting to drop hard in Toronto as bonkers market cools
Given how ridiculously unreasonable Toronto real estate prices are known to be, it may be understandably hard to believe the recent chatter about the market potentially cooling off, but the latest numbers indicate that the trend is indeed going that way.
According tothe newly-released reportfrom the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), May was a year of big market changes in the GTA, largely in a continued, escalating response to higher mortgage interest rates.
Expertshave been predicting a slowdown this yearfrom the ridiculous highs that saw the average home in the GTA hit over $1.3 million and the typical detached house in Toronto proper国际扶轮se to over $2 million.
And, recent months have seen a huge decrease in market activity, with sales numbers falling so much (even if prices were not) that we reached the cuspof a buyer's market.
While the regionmay be the most overvalued for housingin Canada — 74 per cent overvalued in some cities — prices are indeed on the decline as fewer and fewer people are buying and hope to own wanes.
JUST RELEASED! Market Continues To Balance Out As Borrowing Costs Trend Higher. Access TRREB’s latest#MarketWatchReport for insights on May market stats, statements From TRREB Experts And More!
— Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (@TheReal_TRREB)June 3, 2022
FULL REPORT HERE ➡️https://t.co/tGADGGiZww⬅️pic.twitter.com/KZvMhjiz6O
The number of home sales was down a shocking 38.8 per cent last month compared to the same time last year, and nine per cent from the month prior, even though listing numbers remained high — active listings were up 26 per cent from May 2021.
Though the average price for the month was 9.4 per cent higher than last May, hitting $1,212,806 for the region, prices and the MLS Home Price Index Composite Benchmark did indeed fall month-over-month, reversing a long-running trend.
When compared to February's peak, this marks a drop of a staggering $121,000, which has happened slowly over the last three months.
The board says this is in line with their forecast for a cooler 2022 with a very different market dynamic than the city has seen ever since it started heating up hard after a brief pandemic low at the end of 2020.
"GTA housing market conditions continued to evolve in response to higher borrowing costs. Similar to April results, May 2022 sales were down on a monthly and annual basis. Conversely, active listings at the end of May were up on a month-over-month and year-over-year basis," the TRREB experts wrote Friday morning.
"More balanced market conditions have provided buyers with more negotiating power. As a result, while benchmark and average home prices were up substantially compared to last year, selling prices trended lower on a month-over-month basis."
GTA rent prices just saw their biggest increase so far this yearhttps://t.co/u08gHpZyry#Toronto#GTA#RealEstate
— blogTO (@blogTO)June 2, 2022
Though residentswill still need to be pulling in$150k or so per year to afford a condo in the city and around $230k to afford a single-family home, things are looking a little less bleak, with further declines to come.
Meanwhile, the rental market is doing the complete opposite, with pricesnow at more than $2,300 monthly, on average.
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